Moving the goalposts

Also called shifting the goalposts, raising the bar.

Changing the standard of proof once it has been met.

What it is

Responding to evidence that meets the demanded standard by raising the standard or demanding different evidence, so the claim can never be satisfied.

The pattern

“I’ll accept X if you show E1.” E1 is shown. “Ah, but you need E2.”

An example

ExampleMoving the goalposts

A: “If the app gets 1,000 users, I’ll admit it’s a success.”

B: “It has 5,000.” A: “Sure, but how many are paying users?”

Paying users may matter, but that wasn’t the test A agreed to. The bar moved after it was cleared.

Why it fails

If no evidence could ever be enough, the person isn’t really evaluating evidence. The original standard was met; changing it after the fact is a refusal to update, not a reason to doubt.

When it’s not a fallacy

Most lists skip this part. Calling a fair point a fallacy is a mistake too.

It can be fair when

  • The standard changes for a reason learned along the way (for example, the first evidence turned out to be flawed) and the change is acknowledged openly.
  • Higher standards are asked for higher stakes or extraordinary claims, stated up front.

Try one

A question from the app. The wrong answers are its usual look-alikes.

Practice questionStealth Fallacies

Andre: “LeBron’s never beaten a great team in the Finals. Show me that and we’ll talk.” Kev: “2016. The Warriors won 73 games, the most in history, and he came back from 3-1 down to beat them.” Andre: “One series. Jordan never let a single Finals go to seven games. Show me a run like that and we’ll talk. Six Finals, six rings, six Finals MVPs.”

What’s the flaw?

Often confused with

  • No true Scotsman

    No True Scotsman changes the definition of a group. Moving the goalposts changes the evidence required.

Where the name comes from

Picture taking a shot at goal while someone drags the posts aside, so a kick that would have scored now misses. “Shifting the goalposts” is the same picture. “Raising the bar” borrows from the high jump and pole vault: clear the bar, and it goes up again.

The metaphor is British and comes from football (soccer) and other goal-based sports: changing the target after the game has started.

Sources

In the app

Practice spotting it on arguments that sound real.

Steelman has more examples of moving the goalposts, how to answer it in a real conversation, and practice rounds that mix it with its look-alikes, so you learn the difference, not just the name. Coming soon to iPhone and Android.

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